St. Joseph, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

891
FXUS63 KEAX 041059
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
459 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy drizzle will gradually clear out through the morning
  hours.

- Cool and cloudy for today with breezy westerly winds.

- Near normal temperatures with generally dry conditions
  expected through Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 247 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Current 500 mb analysis shows the center of the mid/upper level low
over NW Iowa and SW Minnesota. The surface cyclone is currently
centered over SE Minnesota and the associated cold front has now
moved through most of Missouri, taking the showers with it.
However, air remains saturated near the surface supporting patchy
drizzle through the early morning, but conditions will start to dry
out as WNW flow continues to bring cooler, drier air to the region.
Clouds will stick around for most of the day but will gradually
clear out from southwest to northeast tonight as the surface low
continues to move NE, except for areas north of US 36. Highs today
will feel much more like fall with values in the mid to upper 50s
and breezy westerly winds.

Near normal temperatures are likely to stick around through the end
of the week with highs in the the mid to upper 50s and overnight
lows in the 40s. The 500 mb low over the upper Midwest will progress
slightly to the NE as another 500 mb low moves into the southern
plains by Thursday night, resulting in a positively tilted trough
across the central US. However, moisture transport will be weak and
air near the surface will be relatively dry, keeping the chance of
precipitation low (<20%). The trough will continue to move east as high
pressure builds in behind it Friday night into Saturday which will
bring lows for Saturday morning into the low to mid 30s, especially
for north central MO but ensemble guidance has <20% chance that
temperatures will drop below 32 degrees. Another warming trend is
likely early next week with highs returning to the mid to upper 60s
while dry conditions should persist.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 458 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

MVFR cigs will persist through about 18Z thinning out and lifting to
VFR through the forecast period. Winds will be out of the west
around 10-12 kts before tapering off around sunset.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...IPC
AVIATION...IPC