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St. Joseph, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Saint Joseph MO
National Weather Service Forecast for: Saint Joseph MO
Issued by: National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
Updated: 11:41 pm CST Nov 25, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Northwest wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.
Mostly Clear

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 42. Northwest wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Sunny

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Mostly Cloudy

Thanksgiving
Day
Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, with a high near 42. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Sunny

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 23. Calm wind.
Partly Cloudy

Friday

Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39.
Mostly Cloudy

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Rain likely, mainly after midnight.  Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Rain Likely

Saturday

Saturday: Rain likely before noon, then rain and snow likely.  Cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Rain Likely
then
Rain/Snow
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A chance of rain and snow before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
Rain/Snow
then Mostly
Cloudy
Lo 29 °F Hi 42 °F Lo 23 °F Hi 42 °F Lo 23 °F Hi 39 °F Lo 32 °F Hi 39 °F Lo 17 °F

 

Overnight
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Northwest wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 42. Northwest wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thanksgiving Day
 
Sunny, with a high near 42. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 23. Calm wind.
Friday
 
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39.
Friday Night
 
Rain likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday
 
Rain likely before noon, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
 
A chance of rain and snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
 
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13.
Monday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 28.
Monday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 32.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Saint Joseph MO.

Weather Forecast Discussion
704
FXUS63 KEAX 260659
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
Issued by National Weather Service St Louis MO
1259 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gusty conditions (25-35 mph) this afternoon as much cooler air moves
  through the area. Highs today mostly in the 50s, trending
  cooler for the second half of this week.

- Thanksgiving is anticipated to remain dry and cool with highs
  mainly in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

- Confidence increasing in a rain/light wintry precip mix Friday
  into the holiday weekend. Best chances for accumulating snow
  remain in far northeast MO. Snowfall amounts remain uncertain.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 236 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Today, rather breezy conditions expected though the afternoon with
wind gusts as high as 25-35 mph. A closed low at H500 descends from
the northern Great Plains, pushing a surface low into the Great
Lakes Region. This surface low will drag a cold front through the
area, ushering in a drier air mass. This will result in skies
clearing out this afternoon for most of the area. Clearing skies
coupled with an increased pressure gradient and sufficient mixing
has yielded gusty winds ranging from 25-35 mph. A few 40 mph wind
gusts are possible mainly near the MO/IA border, however confidence
is not high enough to issue any wind headlines. Also, as the front
continues to move through the area this afternoon/evening, there
will be a few low-end chances (below 20%) for light showers east of
I-35. Dry air near the surface will make it difficult for precip to
reach the ground. At best, there will be a few inconsequential
showers/sprinkles during the afternoon/evening commute. For
temperatures, highs for today will range mostly in the 50s. As we
transition into the evening/overnight, additional mid level cloud
cover is expected with the approaching H500 closed low. This could
prevent low temperatures from completely bottoming out on the
backside of the cold front (albeit temperatures will still be cold).
Lows for tomorrow morning are anticipated to range in the upper 20s
to low 30s, just below freezing which is right on track for seasonal
averages.

Conditions remain dry, but trend cooler for Wednesday and
Thanksgiving as a surface high transits from the northwest behind
the front. Additionally, we maintain northwesterly/northerly
windflow through this time, resulting in highs ranging around the
upper 30s to mid 40s and lows in the upper teens to mid 20s.

Our attention shifts to late Friday into Saturday as a mid-level
trough pushes a surface low and associated cold front through the
area. This will bring a chance for light rain/wintry precip. For
now, coverage for light rain appears to be widespread with the most
favorable areas for wintry precip north of HWY-36, east of I-35.
Confidence is increasing in minor accumulations as models remain
consistent in highlighting northeast MO. Below is a chart of LREF
snow accumulation probabilities for late Saturday into Sunday.

Kirksville area:
>.5-48%,  >1-39%,  >2-20%

KC Metro area:
>.5-6%,  >1-0%,  >2-0%

Maryville area:
>.5-15%,  >1-12%,  >2-0%

Moberly area:
>.5-42%,  >1-30%,  >2-20%

Additional chances for light rain/wintry precip linger Saturday
night into Sunday as the mid-level trough continues its track
through the area mainly north of I-70. At the surface, high pressure
moves in on the backside of the front which will limit moisture. As
a result, confidence for any precip late Saturday into Sunday is
much lower than late Friday into Saturday. Deterministic models
continue to waver between no snow and light snow amounts with each
model run increasing uncertainty for late Saturday into early
Sunday. As far as temperatures, conditions continue to cool Sunday
and remain cold into mid-next week. Highs seem to range around the
upper 20s to mid 30s which is well-below seasonal averages.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1256 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Breezy VFR conditions are expected through the duration of the
forecast period. Northwest winds sustained around 10-20 knots
with intermittent gusts through the night. Winds gradually
decrease after sunrise remaining northwesterly.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Collier
AVIATION...Bowman
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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